What will be the net percentage of domestic banks that will have tightened standards for commercial and industrial (C&I) loans to large and middle-market firms in the past three months, according to the Federal Reserve's "July" 2025 SLOOS survey?
Closed Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The Federal Reserve completes a Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS, sometimes SOSLP) at least four times a year, which asks bank leaders about changes to credit standards over the preceding three months (Federal Reserve, Investopedia - SLOOS). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using survey results data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) for the Federal Reserve's first release dated for the third quarter, which covers April through June and is expected to be released in July 2025 (FRED). In the April 2025 report (aka "Q2 2025" that covers January through March), the Fed reported that 18.5% of "Large and medium" respondents said they were tightening standards for C&I loans (Federal Reserve - SLOOS April 2025, see the "2025:2" row in table 1 panel 1 under the "Large and medium" column, FRED, see Q2 2025). Please note that a negative number represents a net loosening of standards.
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The question closed "At least 0.0%, but less than 15.0%" with a closing date of 4 August 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than -15.0% | 2% | |
| At least -15.0%, but less than 0.0% | 5% | |
| At least 0.0%, but less than 15.0% | 9% | |
| At least 15.0%, but less than 30.0% | 22% | |
| At least 30.0%, but less than 45.0% | 25% | |
| 45.0% or more | 37% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 7 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 13 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |