Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will President Donald Trump attend the NATO Summit in The Hague, Netherlands, scheduled for 24-25 June 2025?
Closed Jun 24, 2025 07:01AM UTC
US President Trump has called for NATO member states to boost their defense spending to 5% of their GDP, an increase from the 2% that many member states failed to meet prior to Russia's invasion of Ukraine (CNBC, AP). NATO is scheduled to hold an annual summit in June 2025, which are typically attended by NATO member state heads of state and government (NATO). If the summit is cancelled or postponed, the question will close "No." Virtual attendance will not count.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 24 June 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 91% | |
| No | 9% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 74 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 237 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |