Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will President Donald Trump attend the NATO Summit in The Hague, Netherlands, scheduled for 24-25 June 2025?

Started May 19, 2025 03:30PM UTC
Closing Jun 24, 2025 07:01AM UTC

US President Trump has called for NATO member states to boost their defense spending to 5% of their GDP, an increase from the 2% that many member states failed to meet prior to Russia's invasion of Ukraine (CNBC, AP). NATO is scheduled to hold an annual summit in June 2025, which are typically attended by NATO member state heads of state and government (NATO). If the summit is cancelled or postponed, the question will close "No." Virtual attendance will not count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 83.75% -0.50% +8.14%
No 16.25% +0.50% -8.14%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username