When will the UK officially announce that it has resumed talks with Israel on a new free trade agreement?

Started May 23, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 10, 2025 07:01AM UTC

On 20 May 2025, UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy told the House of Commons that the UK had "suspended negotiations with this Israeli government on a new free trade agreement" due to Israeli actions limiting humanitarian aid moving into Gaza (BBC, AP). An announcement must be made by a person who is officially authorized to speak on behalf of the UK government.

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The question closed "Not before 10 October 2025" with a closing date of 10 October 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 6 June 2025 0%
Between 6 June 2025 and 3 July 2025 0%
Between 4 July 2025 and 14 August 2025 0%
Between 15 August 2025 and 9 October 2025 1%
Not before 10 October 2025 99%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 42
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 111
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.012248
3.
-0.010222
4.
-0.008795
5.
-0.008231

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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