Before 2 August 2025, will legislation that would generally prohibit the US president from using US armed forces for hostilities against Iran without explicit congressional authorization pass in either the US House or US Senate?
Closed Aug 02, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Senator Tim Kaine filed a "war powers" resolution on 16 June 2025 that would prevent President Trump from using the US armed forces against Iran, save for self-defense from imminent attack (Sen. Kaine - Press Release, Sen. Kaine - Iran War Powers Resolution, Yahoo [Reuters], Congressional Research Service, Cornell - 50 USC §1546a, International Security Assistance and Arms Export Control Act of 1976, see Section 601). Legislation that would prohibit the use of federal funds for any use of force in or against Iran will count, though the legislation must call out Iran by name (X.com - Senator Bernie Sanders).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 2 August 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | |
| No | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 88 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 173 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
