Will the presidents of Russia and the United States meet in person before 20 January 2026?

Started Jul 18, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 15, 2025 07:10PM UTC

Donald Trump has expressed frustration with Russian President Vladimir Putin over a potential peace deal in the war in Ukraine, but the parties haven't foreclosed the prospect of a potential meeting between the two leaders (CNN, Yahoo [Bloomberg], Politico). The meeting must be face-to-face but can occur in any venue and does not need to be bilateral to count. A meeting with an acting president under the constitution of the relevant country will count.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 15 August 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 95%
No 5%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 103
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137
Number of Forecasts 225
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.943696
2.
-0.885839
3.
-0.855839
4.
-0.844668
5.
-0.721604

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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