At close of business on 17 September 2025, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be more than 0.25% lower than it was at close of business on 30 July 2025?
Closed Sep 17, 2025 07:01AM UTC
After the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported major downward revisions on job creation in the US on 1 August 2025, there is speculation that the Fed may cut rates by its September meeting by more than the usual 0.25% (Yahoo [Bloomberg], Yahoo [Fortune]). As of close of business on 30 July 2025, the upper limit was 4-1/2 percent (4.50%) (Federal Reserve - FOMC Statement 30 July 2025).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 17 September 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | |
| No | 90% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 49 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 121 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
