Jayce asks:

Before 1 November 2025, will the National Football League (NFL) announce that Taylor Swift will perform at the 2026 Super Bowl Halftime Show?

Started Sep 05, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 29, 2025 02:00AM UTC

Speculation abounds that Taylor Swift, who is engaged to Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce, may perform at the next Super Bowl Halftime Show (Billboard, Yahoo). Whether the NFL announces that Swift will perform with other acts is immaterial. The question will close upon the NFL publicly announcing a performer or performers who will perform. The NFL announced on 8 September 2024 that Kendrick Lamar would perform at the 2025 Super Bowl on 9 February 2025 (Yahoo).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 28 September 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 30%
No 70%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 23
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 137
Number of Forecasts 46
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 369
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.210065
2.
-0.193591
3.
-0.132948
4.
-0.129752
5.
-0.119178

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username