Started Apr 04, 2017 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 08, 2017 06:59AM UTC

  The Economist asks

Will Uhuru Kenyatta win Kenya’s August 2017 presidential election?

Uhuru Kenyatta will seek re-election in August 2017 (The Economist, Bloomberg). In the event that a run-off election is required, the end date of the question will be extended. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


Recommended Questions: Will Turkey's upcoming constitutional referendum pass? Will Angela Merkel be elected as chancellor of Germany after the 2017 Bundestag election? Before 1 July 2017, will a date be set for early general elections in the United Kingdom? Uhuru Kenyatta was declared the winner of Kenya's 2017 election. This question closed on "a) yes," with and end date of 11 August 2017 See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Final Crowd Forecast

80%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

167

Forecast
Count

569

Crowd Brier Score

0.0391


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.023
4.
-0.023
5.
-0.023

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username