The Economist asks:
In Bost v. Illinois State Board of Elections, will the Supreme Court rule that the petitioners have standing to challenge the state's laws allowing ballots to be received and counted after an election day?
Closed Jan 14, 2026 03:10PM UTC
A group of Illinois voters and candidates sued the state over its practice of counting votes received after an election day, though the district court and Seventh Circuit decided that the people in this group did not have standing to sue (SCOTUSblog, Substack - Adam Feldman, Capitol News Illinois). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2025 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue or issues of law, the question will close as "No." A finding that any petitioner has standing will count as "Yes."
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 14 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | |
| No | 40% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 42 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 134 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 60 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 361 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
