Between 23 October 2025 and 24 April 2026, will the value of the S&P Regional Banking ETF (Ticker: KRE) close down by 7.0% or more in a single day?

Started Oct 22, 2025 04:30PM UTC
Closing Apr 24, 2026 07:01AM UTC

Regional banks in the US were hit by reports of loans secured by fraud came as credit concerns percolate through the financial system (Yahoo [AP], Investopedia, Politico). The question will be suspended on 23 April 2026 if still open and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set chart to "1M"). On 16 October 2025, the KRE closed down 6.1955% (closing price on 16 October 2025 divided by the closing price on 15 October 2025 and 1 subtracted for the percentage change [58.14/61.98-1=-6.1955%]).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 39.40% 0% +1.00% -9.30%
No 60.60% 0% -1.00% +9.30%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username