Foxes ask:
When will a US federal court issue declaratory and/or injunctive relief preventing the Trump administration from imposing its $100,000 payment for "H-1B" visas?
Closing May 23, 2026 07:01AM UTC
On 19 September 2025, the Trump administration announced a new $100,000 fee on "H-1B" visas, which are issued to foreigners with special knowledge and skills (White House, USCIS). The US Chamber of Commerce, a group comprised of US businesses, sued to block the fee, saying that President Trump exceeded his authority and violated the Administrative Procedure Act (APA) by imposing the fee (Chamber of Commerce Complaint 16 October 2025, US Chamber of Commerce, Yahoo [Bloomberg]). A preliminary or permanent injunction preventing enforcement will count, as will a declaratory judgment that the fee is illegal (Cornell - Declaratory Judgment, Cornell - Injunctive Relief). A settlement between the parties that would prevent the enforcement of the ban will count, and the relief must take effect to count. Relief for one or more named plaintiffs will count.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 22 November 2025 | 6.70% | 0% | -3.50% | -7.97% |
| Between 22 November 2025 and 20 February 2026 | 24.80% | 0% | +0.70% | +2.69% |
| Between 21 February 2026 and 22 May 2026 | 13.80% | -1.10% | -0.80% | -2.20% |
| Not before 23 May 2026 | 54.70% | +1.10% | +3.60% | +7.48% |