What will be the closing yield for the Japanese 30-year bond on 18 September 2026?
Closing Sep 18, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Yields on Japanese 30-year bonds have soared in 2025 as the Bank of Japan moved to normalize its monetary policy, and Prime Minister Takaichi is expected to push for greater spending that could push yields even higher (CNBC, Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The question will be suspended on 17 September 2026 and the outcome determined using data as reported in the US by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set chart to "1Y" and hover cursor over the chart for data). The closing yield for the Japanese 30-year bond on 18 September 2025 was 3.1951%.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.400% | 3.00% | 0% | 0% | -0.80% |
| At least 2.400%, but less than 2.700% | 7.00% | 0% | 0% | -4.20% |
| At least 2.700%, but less than 3.000% | 30.63% | 0% | 0% | +1.23% |
| At least 3.000%, but less than 3.300% | 17.50% | 0% | 0% | -2.90% |
| At least 3.300%, but less than 3.600% | 23.88% | 0% | 0% | +8.68% |
| At least 3.600%, but less than 3.900% | 8.38% | 0% | 0% | +2.18% |
| At least 3.900%, but less than 4.200% | 2.88% | 0% | 0% | -1.32% |
| At least 4.200%, but less than 4.500% | 2.38% | 0% | 0% | -0.82% |
| At least 4.500%, but less than 4.800% | 2.25% | 0% | 0% | -0.95% |
| 4.800% or more | 2.13% | 0% | 0% | -1.07% |