When will the US president and Nicolás Maduro next hold a virtual or in-person meeting?

Started Nov 18, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 21, 2025 11:00PM UTC

As the US military buildup in the Caribbean grows, President Trump told reporters that Maduro is interested in talks about the situation in Venezuela (NBC News, Guardian). A meeting held virtually (e.g., phone call, video call) or in concert with another event (e.g., OAS event) will count so long as discussion occurs between the two leaders among themselves and their own respective entourages (e.g., staff and translators), and a meeting with a US president holding the position in an acting capacity will count. The meeting must be acknowledged by both the US and Venezuelan governments to count.

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NOTE 2 December 2025: The question will close as of the date of the meeting, irrespective of the date of confirmations, so long as the confirmations are made before 25 January 2026.


The question closed "Before 5 December 2025" with a closing date of 21 November 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 5 December 2025 5%
Between 5 December 2025 and 26 December 2025 18%
Between 27 December 2025 and 24 January 2026 17%
Not before 25 January 2026 60%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 49
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 110
Number of Forecasts 85
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 255
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.166944
2.
-1.049722
3.
-0.863056
4.
-0.642656
5.
-0.624722

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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