Who will win the 2026 presidential election in Colombia?
Closing Jun 21, 2026 07:01AM UTC
With President Gustavo Petro term limited, the race to be the next president of Colombia is wide open (Latin America Reports, Yahoo [Reuters], El País). The first round of Colombia's next presidential election is scheduled for 31 May 2026, with a runoff scheduled for 21 June 2026, if needed. If a candidate named in the answer options ceases to be a candidate, that person's name will be replaced by the person chosen to replace that candidate under the laws of Colombia if 1) such a replacement is named, and 2) such a replacement is not already named in the answer options. The name of the person printed on the ballot who ultimately wins will be considered the winner of the election, even if that named candidate is replaced after the ballots for the round that ultimately decides the winner are printed (e.g., Mel Carnahan's "victory" in the 2000 Missouri Senate race [BBC]).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Cepeda | 22.30% | +0.40% | +2.30% |
| Abelardo de la Espriella | 18.40% | -2.40% | +0.40% |
| Sergio Fajardo | 42.90% | +0.10% | -4.10% |
| Miguel Uribe Londoño | 9.10% | +1.00% | +0.10% |
| Claudia Lopez | 4.20% | +0.70% | +0.20% |
| Another candidate | 3.10% | +0.20% | +1.10% |