What will be the value of the monthly US Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index for June 2026?
Closing Jul 01, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Uncertainty surrounding policies coming out of the Trump administration has mitigated since "Liberation Day," but it remains elevated and of high concern in the financial system (Yahoo [Reuters], Federal Reserve - Financial Stability Report November 2025, St. Louis Fed). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2026 and the outcome determined using Economic Policy Uncertainty Index data for the US as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) (FRED). As of the launch of this question, the index value for June 2025 was 241.75700.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 120.0 | 2.00% | -10.50% |
| At least 120.0, but less than 160.0 | 6.00% | -6.50% |
| At least 160.0, but less than 200.0 | 14.00% | +1.50% |
| At least 200.0, but less than 240.0 | 18.00% | +5.50% |
| At least 240.0, but less than 280.0 | 18.00% | +5.50% |
| At least 280.0, but less than 320.0 | 18.00% | +5.50% |
| At least 320.0, but less than 360.0 | 13.00% | +0.50% |
| 360.0 or more | 11.00% | -1.50% |