Will the US' national military forces attempt to execute a military strike within the territory, airspace, or territorial waters of Iran before 26 December 2026?

Started Jan 02, 2026 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 26, 2026 08:01AM UTC

The US struck at least three Iranian nuclear facilities in late June 2025, and Israel is reportedly considering new strikes on the Islamic Republic (ABC News, USA Today, NBC News). The geographic origin of and weaponry used in a military strike will be immaterial so long as either the weapon detonates or discharges on or over Iranian territory. A cyberattack alone will not count. For the purposes of this question, US national military forces exclude US intelligence services (e.g., CIA). Public acknowledgment is not required, and the default evidentiary standard would be used, that being credible, open-source media reporting.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes 58.38% +8.38%
No 41.63% -8.37%

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