Started Nov 17, 2015 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 31, 2016 06:59AM UTC

Will Vladimir Putin attend the Nuclear Security Summit in Washington, DC, in March 2016?

Russia announced in 2014 that it would not participate in the 2016 Nuclear Security Summit, citing concerns that its views would be ignored (Washington Post, Reuters). For further reading on Russian relations with the rest of the world, see The World in 2016 and The Economist. The summit is scheduled for 31 March - 1 April 2016. Recommended Questions How many countries will Russia remove from its food embargo list before 6 August 2016? Will President Putin meet with Prime Minister Abe in Japan before 1 July 2016? Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 in response to actions taken by Russia before 1 January 2017?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.00%
No 98.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 904
Average for questions older than 6 months: 249
Number of Forecasts 1758
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.036
2.
-0.036
3.
-0.036
4.
-0.036
5.
-0.036

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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