Will a majority of voters in Britain's upcoming referendum elect to remain in the European Union?
Resolved 6/24/16: The majority of British voters elected to leave the EU (BBC, Reuters). Scores are based on forecasts made through 11:59pm Pacific on 22 June 2016. After concluding a deal with the EU in February, Prime Minister David Cameron scheduled a referendum on "Brexit" for 23 June 2016 (The Economist, BBC, NY Times). Recommended Questions Who will be the next mayor of London? Will Syria hold UN-backed elections before 1 January 2018?
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Number of Forecasters||1740|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 258|
|Number of Forecasts||4366|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 686|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|