Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will a piece of federal legislation providing for $250 billion or more of new fiscal stimulus become law in the U.S. before 1 January 2021?
Closed Dec 28, 2020 12:00AM UTC
In response to the economic consequences from the COVID-19 pandemic, policymakers have made efforts to stimulate the American economy (CNBC). Debate over another round of fiscal stimulus continues (CNBC, Washington Post). The outcome will be determined using the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget's covidmoneytracker.org interactive table by selecting legislation that becomes law during the question's open period (if any) and totaling the amount "ALLOWED" in the "Legislative" subtotal (COVID Money Tracker). Amounts in the "Administrative" and "Federal Reserve" subtotals would not count.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 27 December 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 73.00% | |
No | 27.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 66 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 237 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |