Started Dec 09, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 21, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 21 January 2021, will the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) enter into a consent order that would allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to exit conservatorship?

The Trump administration is exploring ways to allow mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to leave federal conservatorship, which was imposed in the midst of the 2008 financial crisis (FHFA, Wall Street Journal, Housing Wire, Bloomberg). Democrats are pushing back on the plan (House Financial Services Committee, Reuters). The date that Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mack would actually leave conservatorship is immaterial. A consent order would count so long as it provides for an exit to occur unless the FHFA takes further action.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 21 January 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

48

Forecast
Count

72

Crowd Brier Score

0.001


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
3.
-0.0
4.
-0.0
5.
-0.0

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