The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will France grant the China Global Television Network (CGTN) a license to broadcast in France before 1 January 2022?

Started Feb 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC

In February 2021, the UK Office of Communications (Ofcom) revoked CGTN’s license to broadcast in the country, therefore cutting its access to other countries in Europe (Ofcom, Deutsche Welle, Council of Europe [not the EU]). The Financial Times has reported that CGTN approached French regulators in December 2020 about seeking a license to broadcast in France, which could return CGTN to the UK and elsewhere (Financial Times, Reuters, Politico.eu). The date a license would take effect would be immaterial.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 3 March 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 100.00%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 59
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.685
2.
-0.601
3.
-0.53592
4.
-0.501
5.
-0.4415

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username