Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 20, 2021 02:30PM UTC

The Economist asks:

Will Berlin's Humboldt Forum open to the general public before 1 August 2021?

After various delays, the Humboldt Forum in Berlin has been completed but remains shuttered due to COVID-19 restrictions (Economist, The Local (Germany), France 24, Humboldt Forum). The Humboldt Forum opening to the public with restrictions, such as requiring proof of COVID-19 vaccination or setting occupancy limits, would count. Opening only to specific groups (e.g., the press, artists) would not count as opening to the public.

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NOTE 2 April 2021: Only indoor events would count and whether an event charges for attendance would be immaterial.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 20 July 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Final Crowd Forecast

100%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

92

Forecast
Count

380

Crowd Brier Score

0.185


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.104
3.
-0.104
5.
-0.102

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