Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022?

Baseball club owners and the players union have begun negotiations for a new CBA (ESPN, CBS Sports). The current CBA is due to expire on 1 December 2021 (Bleacher Nation, MLBPA).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 47
Average for questions older than 6 months: 250
Number of Forecasts 240
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.155
2.
-1.146
3.
-1.068
5.
-0.863

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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