Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Between 18 June 2021 and 18 July 2021, will protests in Peru result in any fatalities?
Peru's tight runoff election results have led to mostly peaceful demonstrations in Lima, recalling a week of political protests in late 2020 that turned violent (Reuters, NY Times, BBC). Fatalities must occur during the question's duration to qualify.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 19 July 2021.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Yes, between 1 and 10||1%|
|Yes, between 11 and 50||0%|
|Yes, between 51 and 150||0%|
|Yes, more than 150||0%|