Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?
New York City is closely watching the status of eviction moratoriums that were enacted by the federal government and the state of New York during the coronavirus pandemic but are set to expire soon (NY Times, AP, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and the outcome determined using data from the Eviction Lab as reported on 17 January 2022 (Eviction Lab). The relevant data can be retrieved by scrolling down to the row with "New York" under the "Site" column, downloading the corresponding CSV file and, in that file, sorting by weeks, summing the values under the "filings_2020" column for weeks 53 through 104. In 2020 (defined as weeks 1 through 52), there were a total of 74,345 eviction filings as of the launch of this question.
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast||Change in last 24 hours|
|Fewer than 60,000||75.00%||+0.00%|
|Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive||19.00%||+0.00%|
|More than 80,000 but fewer than 120,000||5.00%||+0.00%|
|Between 120,000 and 240,000, inclusive||1.00%||+0.00%|
|More than 240,000||0.00%||+0.00%|