Tim Harford asks:
What will be the value of the shipping-costs benchmark Baltic Exchange Dry Index as of 24 December 2021?
As economies emerge from the worst of the pandemic, costs of global shipping have skyrocketed in 2021 (NASDAQ, Hellenic Shipping News, Investopedia, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined using Baltic Exchange Dry Index data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).
The question closed "Lower than 2,500.00" with a closing date of 24 December 2021.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Lower than 2,500.00||100%|
|Between 2,500.00 and 4,000.00, inclusive||0%|
|Higher than 4,000.00 but lower than 5,500.00||0%|
|Between 5,500.00 and 7,000.00, inclusive||0%|
|Higher than 7,000.00 but lower than 8,500.00||0%|
|Between 8,500.00 and 10,000.00, inclusive||0%|
|Higher than 10,000.00||0%|
|Number of Forecasters||66|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 257|
|Number of Forecasts||434|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 686|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||better than average|