Started Oct 08, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Dec 31, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will a cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ stock exchanges before 31 December 2022?

While cryptocurrency ETFs have been authorized in other jurisdictions, attempts to create a crypto ETF in the US continue (The Block, CP24, MarketWatch). ETFs for cryptocurrency derivatives (e.g., futures) or of firms that have cryptocurrency exposure would not count. Whether an ETF includes one or several cryptocurrencies would be immaterial, but stablecoins and/or central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) would not count (Investopedia - Stablecoin, Investopedia - CBDC).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 3.00% +0.00% +0.00% -0.50%
No 97.00% -0.00% -0.00% +0.50%

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