Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed?
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
China and the GCC began negotiations for a free trade agreement in 2005 (China Ministry of Commerce, Atlantic Council, ANI News, GCC). The signing of an FTA or the announcement of an agreement in principle (see EU-Mercosur announcement) would count, and ratification would be immaterial (e.g., New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, BBC).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.08% | |
| No | 99.92% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 58 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 223 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 637 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
