Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will Canada announce a diplomatic boycott of the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing, China, before 1 February 2022?
Closed Dec 08, 2021 05:40PM UTC
The US government announced that it would hold a diplomatic boycott of the 2022 Beijing Olympics to protest various policies of the People's Republic of China, with other countries reportedly considering the same (ABC News, Forbes, CTV News). A diplomatic boycott means no official representatives from Canada would attend any events of the Beijing 2022 Games, scheduled to begin on 4 February 2022, but would not necessarily affect athlete participation (Olympics.com, Voice of America). Canada announcing a diplomatic boycott as part of a group (e.g., the G7) would count.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 8 December 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 80.00% | |
No | 20.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 51 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 73 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |