Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the daily reported natural gas in storage in the EU for 31 July 2022?
Closed Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
As the war in Ukraine continues, Russian deliveries of natural gas to Europe have been reduced, with the EU fearing further cuts as it tries to increase storage for the coming winter (ABC News, AP). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2022 and the outcome determined using "Gas in storage TWh" data as first reported by Gas Infrastructure Europe (Gas Infrastructure Europe, in the row for "EU" and under the "View" column at the very end, the relevant data can be viewed by selecting the first icon for "Historical data"). Whether the data reported are Confirmed or Estimated is immaterial. "TWh" means "Terawatt hour" (Statistics Finland).
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The question closed "Between 750.0 TWh and 800.0 TWh, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 August 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 650.0 TWh | 0% | |
Between 650.0 TWh and 700.0 TWh, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 700.0 TWh but less than 750.0 TWh | 0% | |
Between 750.0 TWh and 800.0 TWh, inclusive | 100% | |
More than 800.0 TWh | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 46 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209 | |
Number of Forecasts | 185 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |