What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 21 November 2022?
Closed Nov 21, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Gasoline prices have fallen considerably from their June 2022 peak, but supply pressures remain (Axios, CNN, NASDAQ). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) for "Weekly U.S. All Grades All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices" (EIA, see table).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Between 3.700 and 4.050, inclusive" with a closing date of 21 November 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 3.000 | 1% | |
| Between 3.000 and 3.350, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than 3.350 but less than 3.700 | 5% | |
| Between 3.700 and 4.050, inclusive | 87% | |
| More than 4.050 but less than 4.400 | 4% | |
| Between 4.400 and 4.750, inclusive | 1% | |
| More than 4.7500 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 182 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 794 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
