Started Sep 26, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 21, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 21 November 2022?

Gasoline prices have fallen considerably from their June 2022 peak, but supply pressures remain (Axios, CNN, NASDAQ). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) for "Weekly U.S. All Grades All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices" (EIA, see table).

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The question closed "Between 3.700 and 4.050, inclusive" with a closing date of 21 November 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3.000 1%
Between 3.000 and 3.350, inclusive 2%
More than 3.350 but less than 3.700 5%
Between 3.700 and 4.050, inclusive 87%
More than 4.050 but less than 4.400 4%
Between 4.400 and 4.750, inclusive 1%
More than 4.7500 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 182
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 172
Number of Forecasts 794
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 380
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.065
2.
-0.059
3.
-0.052
4.
-0.047
5.
-0.045

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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