Started Oct 14, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for March 2023?

As the Federal Reserve increases interest rates to fight inflation, there are concerns that the US labor market will suffer (USA Today, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined using the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported monthly by the US Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) when first released, expected on 7 April 2023 (BLS).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 3.5% 5.30% -0.25% +1.08% -0.46%
Between 3.5% and 3.9%, inclusive 49.95% +1.65% +4.78% +19.54%
More than 3.9% but less than 4.5% 34.40% +2.60% +0.51% -2.31%
Between 4.5% and 4.9%, inclusive 7.15% -1.50% -4.29% -6.38%
More than 4.9% but less than 5.5% 2.05% -1.60% -1.95% -3.66%
Between 5.5% and 5.9%, inclusive 0.85% -0.40% +0.18% -5.50%
Higher than 5.9% 0.30% -0.50% -0.31% -1.23%

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