Johnxf asks:

What will be the closing value for the US dollar to Turkish lira exchange rate on 21 April 2023?

Started Oct 21, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 21, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The lira has fallen to record lows against the dollar in 2022 as Turkey fights inflation with by unorthodox means (CNBC, EuroNews, Daily Sabah). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Between 19.00 and 21.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 21 April 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 15.00 0%
Between 15.00 and 17.00, inclusive 0%
Higher than 17.00 but lower than 19.00 1%
Between 19.00 and 21.00, inclusive 94%
Higher than 21.00 but lower than 23.00 4%
Between 23.00 and 25.00, inclusive 1%
Higher than 25.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 46
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 483
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.069
2.
-0.067
3.
-0.066
4.
-0.053
5.
-0.047

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username