Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many US states will have five or more public hydrogen fueling stations as of 29 December 2023, according to Alternative Fuels Data Center (AFDC)?
Closed Dec 29, 2023 08:01AM UTC
As US policy pushes for more alternative fuels, there are efforts to expand the availability and use of hydrogen fuel (US News & World Report, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the AFDC at approximately 5:00PM ET on Friday 29 December 2023 (AFDC, click "Download Results" for a file listing all public stations and their locations). For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state.
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The question closed "Zero or 1" with a closing date of 29 December 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Zero or 1 | 87% | |
2 to 4 | 8% | |
5 to 7 | 2% | |
8 to 10 | 1% | |
11 to 13 | 1% | |
14 or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 90 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 260 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |