Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many US states will have five or more public hydrogen fueling stations as of 29 December 2023, according to Alternative Fuels Data Center (AFDC)?
Closing Dec 29, 2023 08:01AM UTC
As US policy pushes for more alternative fuels, there are efforts to expand the availability and use of hydrogen fuel (US News & World Report, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the AFDC at approximately 5:00PM ET on Friday 29 December 2023 (AFDC, click "Download Results" for a file listing all public stations and their locations). For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zero or 1 | 81.60% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +7.60% |
| 2 to 4 | 15.10% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -1.90% |
| 5 to 7 | 2.60% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -0.40% |
| 8 to 10 | 0.30% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -0.70% |
| 11 to 13 | 0.27% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -0.73% |
| 14 or more | 0.13% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -3.87% |