Started Oct 25, 2022 09:30PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the total number of hydrogen vehicles registered in the US in 2023, according to Alternative Fuels Data Center (AFDC)?

As US policy pushes for more alternative fuels, there are efforts to expand the availability and use of hydrogen fuel (US News & World Report, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by AFDC, expected in 2024 (AFDC). For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 12,000 18.25% +0.00% +0.25% +9.25%
Between 12,000 and 13,500, inclusive 18.54% +0.00% -0.46% -4.46%
More than 13,500 but fewer than 15,000 18.13% +0.00% +0.13% -4.87%
Between 15,000 and 16,500, inclusive 26.38% +0.00% +0.38% -0.62%
More than 16,500 18.71% +0.00% -0.29% +0.71%

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