ericbays asks:

Will there be a railroad union strike in the United States in 2022?

Started Oct 28, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Twelve labor unions and dozens of railroad companies have been negotiating for new collective bargaining agreements since 2019, and there is a threat of strikes unless agreements are reached (Axios, AP, National Railway Labor Conference, CNBC). The earliest a strike could begin is November 2022 (Politico). For the purposes of this question, a strike need not include all railroad workers to count. The duration of a strike would be immaterial so long as the strike actually begins.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.04%
No 98.96%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 63
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 194
Average for questions older than 6 months: 578
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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