Started Dec 02, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

UBS asks:

What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March 2023?

Inflation in the US is expected to slow in 2023 versus 2022 (The Hill, US News & World Report, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2023 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change for March 2023 as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for "All items," expected in April 2023 (BLS). For March 2022, the change was 8.5%.

This question is part of the UBS Asset Management Investments Recruitment Challenge. Click here for more details.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Up by less than 1.5% or down 3.00% +0.38% +1.58% -0.31%
Up by between 1.5% and 3.0%, inclusive 6.00% -0.52% -1.04% -2.26%
Up by more than 3.0% but less than 4.5% 23.00% -0.08% -1.57% +0.06%
Up by between 4.5% and 6.0%, inclusive 44.00% +0.71% +4.01% +7.86%
Up by more than 6.0% but less than 7.5% 20.00% -0.26% -2.29% -4.77%
Up by 7.5% or more 4.00% -0.23% -0.70% -0.57%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username