The Economist asks:
What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for August 2023?
Started
Jan 27, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
The Federal Reserve has indicated that it will continue its monetary policy tightening despite risks to the US labor market (Economist, AP, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 August 2023 and the outcome determined using the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported monthly by the US Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics when first released, expected in September 2023 (BLS).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower than 3.5% | 11.00% | +0.00% | -8.00% | -11.00% |
| 3.5% or higher, but lower than 4.5% | 53.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -4.00% |
| 4.5% or higher, but lower than 5.5% | 27.00% | +0.00% | +6.00% | +11.00% |
| 5.5% or higher, but lower than 6.5% | 4.00% | +0.00% | +2.00% | +0.00% |
| 6.5% or higher, but lower than 7.5% | 1.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |
| 7.5% or higher | 4.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +4.00% |