UBS asks:

What will be the closing value for the US dollar to Chinese renminbi (aka yuan) exchange rate on 29 September 2023?

Started May 05, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 29, 2023 07:01AM UTC

BRICS nations, which includes China, and others are voicing pushback against the dominance of the US dollar in international trade in favor of local currencies (France24, First Post, Al-Monitor). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

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The question closed "Between 7.25 and 7.50, inclusive" with a closing date of 29 September 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 6.25 0%
Between 6.25 and 6.50, inclusive 0%
Higher than 6.50 but lower than 6.75 0%
Between 6.75 and 7.00, inclusive 0%
Higher than 7.00 but lower than 7.25 6%
Between 7.25 and 7.50, inclusive 92%
Higher than 7.50 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 66
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 549
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.129151
2.
-0.122769
4.
-0.0799
5.
-0.071321

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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