What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for December 2023?
Closing Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
While the US unemployment rate in April 2023 tied for the lowest in 70 years, there are signals that the labor market is cooling amid general recession fears (US News & World Report, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 and the outcome determined using the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported monthly by the US Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics when first released, expected in January 2024 (BLS).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower than 3.5% | 13.00% | +0.00% | +3.00% | -1.00% |
| 3.5% or higher, but lower than 4.0% | 49.00% | +0.00% | -8.00% | -8.00% |
| 4.0% or higher, but lower than 4.5% | 27.00% | +0.00% | +3.00% | +9.00% |
| 4.5% or higher, but lower than 5.0% | 6.00% | +0.00% | +2.00% | +2.00% |
| 5.0% or higher, but lower than 5.5% | 2.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | -2.00% |
| 5.5% or higher, but lower than 6.0% | 1.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |
| 6.0% or higher | 2.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% |