probahilliby asks:

Between 22 September 2023 and 14 January 2024, will Donald Trump be found in contempt of court by a judge presiding over any US criminal proceedings for which he is a defendant?

Started Sep 22, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC

As former President Trump faces criminal charges in various jurisdictions, he is under various orders from courts to refrain from making certain comments against prosecutors and others (Politico - Trump Criminal Investigations Cases Tracker, US News & World Report, Politico, NBC News, Cornell - Gag Order). A finding of either civil contempt or criminal contempt in pertinent criminal proceedings would count, and the proceedings may be in either state or federal court (Cornell - Contempt of Court). A contempt finding in civil cases would not count (e.g., US News & World Report).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 January 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 14%
No 86%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 98
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 363
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.482
2.
-0.482
3.
-0.482
4.
-0.482
5.
-0.481

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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