Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will France publicly announce that it will resume providing official development assistance (ODA) to Mali before 1 January 2025?

Started Sep 29, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

In November 2022, France announced that it was halting ODA to Mali due to the military government's ties to the Russian Wagner Group (Radio France Internationale, Agence Française de Développement, Radio France Internationale). The date an announced resumption would take effect is immaterial, and conditional announcements (e.g., if/when the country returns to civilian rule) would not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 12.58% -0.75% -2.09% -6.33%
No 87.42% +0.75% +2.09% +6.33%

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