Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will France publicly announce that it will resume providing official development assistance (ODA) to Mali before 1 January 2025?

Started Sep 29, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC

In November 2022, France announced that it was halting ODA to Mali due to the military government's ties to the Russian Wagner Group (Radio France Internationale, Agence Française de Développement, Radio France Internationale). The date an announced resumption would take effect is immaterial, and conditional announcements (e.g., if/when the country returns to civilian rule) would not count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 1.81% -0.07% -0.13% -0.19%
No 98.19% +0.06% +0.13% +0.19%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username