Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
When will US legislation appropriating new funding for government and/or military assistance to Ukraine become law?
Closed Jan 16, 2024 08:01AM UTC
While President Biden and many members of Congress had pushed for more Ukraine funding to be included in the continuing resolution negotiated to prevent a government shutdown, none was included (CNBC, Colorado Public Radio). Legislation that only extends preexisting funding for Ukraine (e.g., a continuing resolution without new funding) would not count (Government Accountability Office, Congressional Research Service).
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The question closed "Not before 16 January 2024" with a closing date of 16 January 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 19 November 2023 | 0% | |
| Between 19 November 2023 and 17 December 2023 | 1% | |
| Between 18 December 2023 and 15 January 2024 | 8% | |
| Not before 16 January 2024 | 91% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 51 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 233 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
