When will the closing price for Brent crude oil next reach or exceed $130.00 per barrel?
Closed Apr 23, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Concerns that the conflict in Israel and the Gaza Strip may spread have raised fears that there could be a major disruption in global energy supplies in the near future (PBS, US News & World Report, Business Standard). The outcome will be determined using price data as reported by NASDAQ (NASDAQ, set chart to "1M"). The price of Brent last approached, but never closed at or above, $130 in the weeks after Russia's February 2022 invasion of Ukraine (CNBC).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Not before 24 April 2024" with a closing date of 24 April 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 26 December 2023 | 0% | |
Between 26 December 2023 and 23 February 2024 | 0% | |
Between 24 February 2024 and 23 April 2024 | 1% | |
Not before 24 April 2024 | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 123 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193 | |
Number of Forecasts | 420 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 554 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |