What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for March 2024?

Started Dec 01, 2023 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

While the US unemployment rate has ticked up from the half-century lows in April 2023, the labor market continued to show strength toward the end of the year (CNBC, ABC News). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2024 and the outcome determined using the Bureau of Labor Statistics' official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database when first released, expected in April 2024 (FRED).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Lower than 3.6% 12.00% -1.00% -1.00% +0.00%
3.6% or higher, but lower than 4.0% 68.00% +3.00% +2.00% +21.00%
4.0% or higher, but lower than 4.4% 19.00% -2.00% -1.00% -17.00%
4.4% or higher, but lower than 4.8% 1.00% +0.00% +0.00% -4.00%
4.8% or higher, but lower than 5.2% 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
5.2% or higher, but lower than 5.6% 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
5.6% or higher, but lower than 6.0% 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
6.0% or higher 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%

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