When will the year-over-year percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index next be 2.000% or lower?
Closed Nov 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
The PCE Price Index, like the Consumer Price Index, is a measure of inflation used in the US and the measure preferred by the Federal Reserve (Investopedia, Federal Reserve - FAQs). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2024 if still open and the outcome determined using Bureau of Economic Analysis data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED) (FRED, click "Edit Graph" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the annual percentage change in the PCE Price Index for August 2023 was 3.41090%. A change for a pertinent month revised from above 2.000% to at or below 2.000% would not count.
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The question closed "Not before November 2024" with a closing date of 1 November 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Before February 2024 | 0% | |
Between February 2024 and April 2024 | 0% | |
Between May 2024 and July 2024 | 0% | |
Between August 2024 and October 2024 | 16% | |
Not before November 2024 | 84% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 34 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 323 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 544 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |