The Economist asks:
What will be the annual inflation rate in Argentina in May 2024?
Closed Jun 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
As Argentine President Javier Milei begins to implement major reforms in the economically troubled country, already high inflation is expected to spike (Economist, AP, MSN, Yahoo). The question will be suspended on 31 May 2024 and the outcome determined using National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (Spanish: "Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos," or "INDEC") data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics). Historical data may be downloaded from the INDEC website (INDEC [in Spanish], see download options under "Índice de precios al consumidor con cobertura nacional").
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The question closed "More than 240.0% but less than 340.0%" with a closing date of 1 June 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 160.0% | 5% | |
| Between 160.0% and 240.0%, inclusive | 12% | |
| More than 240.0% but less than 340.0% | 72% | |
| Between 340.0% and 460.0%, inclusive | 7% | |
| More than 460.0% but less than 600.0% | 3% | |
| 600.0% or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 302 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 200 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 796 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 571 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
