Jayce asks:

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of North Korea and those of Japan, South Korea, and/or the US resulting in at least three fatalities before 1 November 2024?

Started Jan 19, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

In January 2024, Kim Jong Un, after stating reunification with South Korea was no longer possible, said that North Koreans should be taught that South Korea is a "primary foe and invariable principal enemy" (BBC, AP, CNN). A qualifying lethal confrontation is one that results in at least three fatalities (total, not each) for the national military forces and/or law enforcement of either side. The fatalities must occur during the question's open period to count, and the fatalities must be the result of the same lethal confrontation to count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 10.66% 0% +1.88% +0.88%
No 89.34% 0% -1.88% -0.88%

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