What will be the annual percentage change of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2024?

Started Mar 22, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

US housing prices have begun to rise again despite high interest rates and general economic anxiety (US Bank, Yahoo, CNN). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2024 and the outcome determined using S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED, click "Edit Graph" and change "Units" to "Percent Change from Year Ago"). As of the launch of this question, the annual percentage change for October 2023 was 4.68622%.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Down by more than 5.0% 0.10% 0% 0% -2.40%
Down by more than 2.5%, but at most 5.0% 0.20% 0% 0% -2.30%
Down by more than 0.0%, but at most 2.5% 1.60% 0% 0% -0.90%
Up by at least 0.0%, but less than 2.5% 29.40% 0% -1.00% -38.10%
Up by at least 2.5%, but less than 5.0% 27.90% 0% -0.50% +10.40%
Up by at least 5.0%, but less than 7.5% 36.60% 0% +0.50% +31.60%
Up by 7.5% more 4.20% 0% +1.00% +1.70%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username