What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton on 25 October 2024, according to Trading Economics?

Started Apr 19, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 25, 2024 07:00AM UTC

After the US and UK announced new sanctions on various Russian metals and President Biden called for new tariffs on Chinese steel and aluminum, prices for the metal have jumped (US News & World Report, Euronews, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 24 October 2024 and the outcome determined using price data (USD/Tonne) as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).

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The question closed "At least $2,600, but less than $2,800" with a closing date of 25 October 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2,200 0%
At least $2,200, but less than $2,400 0%
At least $2,400, but less than $2,600 13%
At least $2,600, but less than $2,800 87%
At least $2,800, but less than $3,000 0%
At least $3,000, but less than $3,200 0%
At least $3,200, but less than $3,400 0%
At least $3,400, but less than $3,600 0%
At least $3,600, but less than $3,800 0%
$3,800 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 34
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191
Number of Forecasts 401
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.08744
2.
-0.082619
3.
-0.078408
4.
-0.037559
5.
-0.036171

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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